Raila is not a reformer

Today let's discuss politics....Many Kenyans were surprised a while ago by  the comments of Raila Odinga on the judiciary. People were shocked to imagine that the self-proclaimed high prince of reform and democracy would go to an extent of branding our courts as fake courts. Those of us who have keenly watched Raila and listened to him were not surprised. Those who have had the opportunity to work with Raila Odinga since the clamour for multi-partyism have been warning this country that this man appears good from far but he is actually far from good.

We have been accused of being obsessed with Raila, or suffering from Raila-Phobia, or being driven by hate for Raila. Luckily the true Raila is now standing up in the eyes of Kenya and the world. The same Raila who refused to go to court in 2008 claiming that the courts were not free is now branding our courts as fake despite all the judicial reforms undertaken in the last four years. The same man who claimed that Kivuitu stole his victory is now intimidating Isaak Hassan’s Independent Elections and Boundaries Commission that was created as a result of a rigorous, inclusive and consultative process as part of our reform package. Truly all can see that it is not true that we hate Raila Odinga. We just love Kenya and care for her future. It is succinctly clear that the more Kenya changes, the more Raila Odinga remains the same.

To many Kenyans, the onslaught against the judiciary and IEBC by the Prime Minister may appear like isolated cases. That is far from the truth. If you go back to history, you will realize that Raila survives on crisis. In 2002, his politics was given a fresh lease of life by the fiasco he created at Kasarani. In 2003, he created a crisis through the alleged MOU with Kibaki to galvanize the country using the 41-againist-1 ideology, which then propelled him to another crisis—the post election crisis of 2007-2008. That crisis then gifted him with the Prime Minister’s slot in the grand coalition government. Recently, the Prime Minister has been trying to create a new crisis in vain. The recent attacks on President Kibaki over the appointments to the National Police Service Commission, the mountain he has created out of the mole hill that is the date of elections are part of this well choreographed plan to rejuvenate his ill fated third attempt at the Presidency.

 

Perhaps Raila’s unbridled, raw ambition is getting the better of him. In his quest to create a new crisis that will propel him to State House, he is making unbelievably simplistic blunders. If he were in a game of tennis, he would lose a whole set from unforced errors only. Just when his propaganda team was struggling to convince the country, against national and now international consensus, that he has nothing to do with the trial of Kenyans at the International Criminal Court, the man displays his true colours by asking for the suspects to be arrested. By doing so, he becomes the first person to publicly call for arrest warrants, something even the cantankerous Ocampo has not done. Unfortunately for him, none of these seeds of crisis has germinated. Like the ones that Jesus talked about in the Bible, Raila’s seeds of crisis are all falling on rocks, an amazing pointer of how Kenyans have grown wiser. Truly, there is a God and he looks after this country

Perhaps it is about time that Raila Odinga embarks on a personal journey towards repentance and absolution. He can do so now before his list of victims grows any longer. He can start by apologizing to Mwai Kibaki, the man who is supposed to be partner but by all means is a victim of Raila’s machinations. I propose that he then moves to Musalia Mudavadi, the man whose blessings he is trying to steal using Bibilical Jacob’s trickster strategies on Esau. Daniel Arap Moi, Uhuru Kenyatta, William Ruto, Miguna Miguna and the people of Kenya would also be worthy of Raila’s remorse and apologies. Unfortunately, I do not expect him to do so soon. What I expect him to do is make more blunders and deny with the same breath. . That’s Raila, the man for you!.

World Bank president choice sadly pre-determined

This week saw the lobbying and deal-making ahead of the election of the President of the World Bank reach its peak.But for all the rhetoric and campaigning, the outcome remained sadly predetermined.It is high time the US foregoes its sense of entitlement at the World Bank and allows a merit-based and transparent contest for the presidency to allow non-American candidates a genuine chance of winning. But what we are drifting towards is a continuation of the status quo.

The world is changing. For more than a decade now, since the Asian financial crisis, developing nations and emerging powers have sought to reflect the evolution of the global economy and geo-strategic concerns in the structure and leadership of international institutions.It is an anachronism for the leadership of the World Bank, and its sister institution the International Monetary Fund, to remain the sole preserve of established powers. However, established powers seem determined to cling on desperately to these last bastions of twentieth century geopolitics.

The aftershocks of a global financial crisis brought about by the failure of governments and corporate boards to execute their governance responsibilities still reverberate. Yet so soon afterwards, it is becoming clear that the appropriate lessons have not been learnt.The World Bank is an institution of critical importance for the global economy. It is vital that the President of the World Bank be the most competent and experienced candidate for the task. For the first time, this year, there are two credible candidates from the developing world.

Many of my US and European friends, people who are outspoken on issues of development, governance and democracy, are conspicuously silent now. Some of my American friends cite the US election as a reason not to rock the boat. Others feel embarrassed about appearing disloyal. But these are not credible justifications.No candidate for the Presidency of the United States will win or lose the forthcoming US election on the basis of how strongly Washington maintains its grip on the World Bank.

Moreover, while France’s quid pro quo support for the US can be taken for granted in the light of Christine Lagarde’s unchallenged ascendancy to IMF Director-General, the rest of Europe has little to gain from preserving the existing arrangement.

Nations such as the UK and Germany have a chance to show the kind of leadership on this issue that they displayed during the last round of climate negotiations in Durban.This is an issue of livelihoods for hundreds of millions of the world’s citizens. On this issue, the interests of US citizens are aligned with those of the citizens of all other nations – a properly-managed, efficient World Bank that promotes sustainable and equitable growth is to the benefit of everyone in our interdependent world.

While citizens across the world fight against cronyism, electoral malpractice and bad governance, we must ensure that our global public institutions set the right example. No-one can lecture developing countries on how to manage their processes, public and private sector, if they so brazenly do not conform to the same standards.Moreover, if this election process is not an open contest, it undermines the principle of fair competition that the US and the World Bank have traditionally exported to the rest of the world.

Having a transparent, open and merit-based process is of course the morally right thing to do. What is more important is that it is the smart thing to do.

As the Bank engages in the delicate act of advising governments on best practice, its own leadership must have legitimacy.The Bank’s at times heavy handed approach in the developing world has created a well of bad feeling which already undermines its relevance. This election is a chance to restore the confidence of the Bank’s partners, and even its staff, in the institution.When the Bank was created in 1944, the world looked very different. Today China is the second largest economy in the world, Brazil the sixth. European economies are struggling with austerity measures while African economies are growing faster than ever.
 

At this time of global political and economic upheaval, as developed countries watch new powers emerge, the Bank must move away from its post-Second World War origins and reposition itself for the new century.

While 20th Century powers drag their feet over UN Security Council reform, here is a comparatively easy step along the path of reframing our global governance architecture. There would be no better way to begin this process than by a merit-based election for World Bank President. This is a wonderful opportunity. The world is watching to see if it will be taken.